Bitcoin reflects the breakthrough structure of gold – new ATH in Q2 2025?

After a week of strong bullish price action, Bitcoin is currently trading at around $96,000, the highest level since its sell-off in March. The current price flirts with the psychological $100,000 barrier, which is an important milestone that can confirm the beginning of a new macro uptrend. But global macroeconomic tensions remain, and concerns over inflation, trade conflicts and currency tightening remain confused by investor sentiment.

Despite uncertainty, optimism among long-term holders and market participants is growing, and they expect a breakthrough in the coming weeks. Top analyst TED Pillows shared an insightful comparison that shows that Bitcoin is currently reflecting Gold’s recent price cycle: a deep accumulation phase, then breaking to an all-time high. According to Pillow, Bitcoin entered a re-elimination phase after its peak in March 2024 and successfully exploded in the fourth quarter of 2024, just as gold did before reaching a record high.

Now, BTC seems to be following the same trajectory, with investor confidence increasing as supply tightens and demand climbs. If this model continues, with the continued push of more than $100,000, it can bring new legs to the new bull cycle, thereby attracting more capital to the cryptocurrency market.

Bitcoin is close to the main test as it tracks the path of gold

Bitcoin is in a decisive moment again, trading below the highly anticipated $100,000. After weeks of steady growth and recent push over $97,000, the Bulls seem confident, but market participants remain cautious. A successful breakthrough of over $100,000 not only marks a major psychological milestone, but also marks the beginning of a new bullish macro phase. But continuing macroeconomic tensions, including inflationary pressures, global trade instability and fear of recession, continue to be major pressures in the wider market.

The Pillow shares the convincing prospects and points out that Bitcoin appears to be tracking the same path as Gold’s recent rally. According to his analysis, BTC went through a classic accumulation stage in early 2024, similar to how gold behaves before reaching its historical climax. Next is a breakthrough and a re-elimination, and finally a breakthrough in the second quarter of the fourth quarter. Since then, Bitcoin has entered a period of months of integration, coiling within a defined range and adding the necessary strength to its next leg.

Pillow believes the breakthrough has begun and is expected to set a new all-time high in 2025 in the second quarter. If this happens, Bitcoin could exceed $100,000 resistance and potentially open the door to a wave of fresh capital inflows across the cryptocurrency market.

BTC prices merge before critical testing

After several days of tight merger, Bitcoin traded at $96,500, down from $98,000. The recent upward momentum has slowed, but the Bulls are still under control as BTC firmly maintains critical short-term support levels. The $100,000 resistance remains the most important milestone on the horizon – claiming that this will confirm a breakthrough and may ignite the next one in the bullish cycle.

However, price action shows that the market is waiting for catalysts to break the range. Decisive moves above $98K can set the tone for a six-digit push, and a persistent rejection close to this level could erode the short-term momentum. If Bitcoin fails to hold the $95K support zone, it may trigger corrections to the $90K area, with the next major support located around the $88,500 level, reaching the 200-day moving average.

Overall, the setup is still constructive, but the Bulls must prove the power soon. With macroeconomic uncertainty still looming and global liquidity conditions tightening, market participants are paying close attention to signs of confirmed signs or weaknesses in Bitcoin’s current structure. Until then, the $95K-$100,000 range remains the battlefield.

Featured images from DALL-E, charts from TradingView

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