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Cardano Staking Pool Operator (SPO) SSEBI (@AV_SEBASTIAN) sparked debate by asserting that Cardano’s ADA can reach double-digit territory this year. In the thread starting: “These are the ingredients for $10 ADA for 2025,” he listed five developments that he believes will transform the eighth-largest cryptocurrency from a $0.70 to a $10 asset. Each of these “ingredients” is forming, and each has its own uncertainty.
#1 Cardano becomes the defi layer of Bitcoin
Input and Output (IO) shocked attendees at the Bitcoin 2025 conference in Las Vegas, by placing the live Bitcoin sequence on a new BITVM-based bridge to Cardano. The IO calls the demonstration a “preview of what is about to happen” and adds that the purpose of the “Cardinal” protocol is to be fully integrated so that BTC holders can borrow, borrow and benefit in Cardano’s extension-UTXO environment. By porting Bitcoin liquidity into a programmable ledger with no packaged custodial tokens, Cardano positioned itself as a settlement layer for so-called BTCFI applications, an addressable market that is currently addressable with up to $1 trillion in dormant value.
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#2 Midnight “Glacier Drop” Gas Disc
Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson told the 2025 Consensus in Toronto that his privacy-focused Sidechain will sell “about 37 million wallets across eight major blockchains” in night governance tokens and dust privacy tokens, “zero allocation to “zero allocation to capitalists”. “Every consensus has a new token saying, ‘My thing is better’. “We will give this to let the user decide. “Once midnight cross-chain fee models return traffic to the basic chain, the sheer scale dwarfs the nearest gas and water, and may seed tens of millions of new addresses with ADAs.
#3 Cardano Spot ETFs listed in the United States
In February, the New York Stock Exchange ARCA proposed to convert the Grayscale Cardano Trust into a live ETF. The Securities and Exchange Commission confirmed the application on February 24, starting a 240-day clock that is now running until October 22, 2025. The agency’s Phase 1 deadline is May 29, following the January-January Bitcoin ETF approval model.
Grayscale believes that ADA’s chain transparency and fixation mechanics make it “basically resistant to manipulation”, which echoes the language that ultimately convinces Bitcoin regulators. Approval will provide traditional investors with regulatory channels for profitable yields – there is no channel available for U.S. crypto ETFs.
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#4 ADA in US Strategic Reserves
President Donald Trump’s march order creates strategic bitcoin reserves and U.S. digital assets inventories to hold cryptocurrencies occupied in federal cases. The subsequent Truth Social Posts named the market “XRP, Solana and Cardano” to be included with Bitcoin and Ether. Ada jumped more than 70% intraday.
Although the order limits new purchases from AltCoins, Treasury accounting shows that approximately $493 million in non-biocurrency assets, including those, are ready. Chainlink co-founder Sergey Nazarov called the move “a reputation boost, signal for the United States. Think of digital assets as strategic.” Incorporating it into sovereign reserves legalizes ADA as conservative allocator and can mitigate the path to futures and options lists.
#5 Ouroboros Leios Upgrade
Hoskinson labeled Leios as “the pinnacle of the entire Ouroboros agenda…the fastest cryptocurrency on the planet.” He said in a live broadcast on May 1 that the simulation showed “thousands of transactions per second” without sacrificing decentralization. The upgrade introduces parallel input, ranking and recognition blocks so that throughput can be called as required by adoption. If H2 2025’s main integration of land, Leios will be consistent with the midnight launch and ETF review window – a pair of bulls see it as catalysis.
ADA is trading close to $0.70 today, which means a market capitalization of about $25 billion. Stocks that jumped to $10 pushed their valuation to $350 billion, comparable to Ethereum’s 2024 peak.
Featured Images created with dall.e, Charts for TradingView.com
