Since its creation, the Bitcoin price has always moved in a periodic pattern, which is defined by different upward, sideward and downward movements. However, this cycle theory seems to be under threat, and the major cryptocurrencies seem to defy the trend.
CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju declared that BTC Bull Cycle ended in March 2025, reviewed his analysis and proposed the idea that Bitcoin prices could undermine the usual cyclical trends. Another chain expert on the X platform gave an interesting view of the periodic behavior of BTC.
Investors can see the first unique cycle in Bitcoin history
Darkfost, an analyst at the pseudonym, got X and shared their views on the current cycle that Bitcoin price could undermine fractal cycle dynamics. According to online experts, the current market cycle may be different from the typical cycles seen in the past, but perhaps not as many as investors.
DarkFost based its analysis on a highlighted chart that brings together key macroeconomic data and compares it to Bitcoin’s price movements. First, the Chain analyst believes that flagship cryptocurrencies have never developed under such market conditions as hostile risk assets.
Source: @Darkfost_Coc
Darkfost hints at the Fed’s high interest rates, saying the juicy returns of potential safer investment vehicles have not stopped Bitcoin prices from reaching two new all-time highs in the current cycle. Specifically, crypto analysts pointed out the situation of treasury yields.
Darkfost says:
Why are large funds, especially institutions, willing to take risks when they can get a safe 5% yield without any real risk? Even more striking is that US2Y has high long-term yields, an unusual and historically important setting.
DarkFost further said the current cycle may indeed be different because liquidity is not fully targeted at risk assets. However, this has not stopped major cryptocurrencies from doing well over the past year.
Finally, Darkfost mentioned that the re-election of US President Donald Trump has brought some degree of uncertainty to the market. The Chain analyst concluded that while Bitcoin is still in a typical cyclical state, investors can see the first truly unique cycle if macro conditions improve this year and continue into 2026.
BTC price is clear at a glance
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is worth about $94,752, reflecting a price drop of about 0.5% over the past 24 hours.
The price of BTC on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
Feature images created by DALL-E, charts for TradingView
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