If vaccination rates drop, millions of measles cases could hit us over the next 25 years

If vaccination rates drop, the United States may see thousands of measles cases over the next 25 years, according to a study released by Jama on Thursday. This is bad news for a country where vaccine deniers penetrate to the highest levels, and too much population remains completely clueless about the dangers of measles.

A team of researchers at Stanford University have produced a simulation model that examines how the decline in vaccination rates in the United States will affect measles, rubella, polio, and diphtheria. In a particularly terrifying situation, the model found that 50% of children’s vaccination would result in 51.2 million measles cases over a 25-year period. There will be 9.9 million rubella, 4.3 million polio cases and 197 diphtheria cases during the same period. All these terrible people will result in 10.3 million hospitalizations and 159,200 deaths, the model says.

Childhood vaccination 50% obviously can be bad and lead to unnecessary pain – especially tragic pain, as the United States eliminated measles in 2000, and until recently, only the terrible epidemic started to become a problem again. But what about the vaccination rate that is the same as in 2025? According to the model, in the United States, there will still be more than 850,000 cases over the next 25 years.

Even if only 10% of the MMR immunity rate drops may cause a huge increase in measles infection, with 11.1 million cases in the United States over the next 25 years. On the other hand, 5% vaccination will mean that the United States can only see 5,800 cases. The population requires a vaccination rate of about 95% to achieve herd immunity from measles. The researchers estimate the current vaccination coverage rate in their model is 87.7% to 95.6%.

Immunity varies by state. For example, New York estimated childhood vaccination rates of 97.7% in the 2023-24 school year. The rate in Idaho is only 79.6%.

According to the CDC, before the measles vaccine was issued in 1963, between 3 million and 4 million Americans would get measles each year, and thousands would be hospitalized. About 400-500 people die from the disease every year, but death is not the only adverse factor for measles. It causes so-called immune amnesia, essentially resetting the immune system of an infected patient, keeping your body from fighting other infections.

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the United States is currently experiencing its worst measles outbreak in the 25th century, with at least 800 cases in 25 states. Illinois just reported its first confirmed case Thursday. This year, three people died of measles in the United States, including two children in Texas and an adult in New Mexico.

According to the Texas Tribune, the parents of a 6-year-old girl died of measles on February 26 and they have no regrets refusing to get vaccinated, noting that their other four unvaccinated children are still alive. The father of an 8-year-old girl died on April 3 and said he also did not regret not having her daughter vaccinated, claiming she actually died of things that had nothing to do with measles and poor care in the hospital.

Both families of the dead child spoke with the Child Health Defense, a popular anti-vaccine group that falsely claimed that the vaccine could cause autism. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the current head of the Department of Health and Human Services.

In fact, Kennedy recently said he will reveal the “cause” of autism in the fall. Kennedy leads what he calls the leadership of the movement to make America healthy again (Maha) and forms a team of scientists to identify what he calls the “epidemic” of autism. Kennedy has also been studying databases of autism cases, which has attracted Americans’ private health records, according to NPR.

Kennedy recently gave a shocking speech, complaining that people with severe autism do not pay taxes or dates, recently appeared on Fox News to point out a drop in testosterone levels in American boys. Kennedy also suggested that many diseases were brand new or that he did not exist as a child.

“Additional, ADHD, phonological delay, speech delay, tic syndrome, snoring disorders, ASD, autism, all of these are harms I’ve never heard of as a kid,” Kennedy said in his speech Tuesday. “They are not part of the nomenclature. They are not part of the conversation.”

“When my uncle was president, it was spent zero in this country to treat chronic diseases.” “Today, it’s about $1.8 trillion a year. It broke our country. 74% of American children are unable to attend the military service. How will we maintain our global leadership through such a population of patients?”

The reason Kennedy may never have heard of these diseases as a child is that many of them are not diagnosed or recognized, and when they are recognized, these diseases are often locked in. Kennedy’s own aunt, Rosemary Kennedy, was institutionalized and failed in the early 1940s due to emotional instability and violence, due to her birth difficulty delivering. Her existence has been kept secret for decades, and her own father has reportedly never been to her. Rosemary’s mother hasn’t seen her in 20 years. So yes, that might explain things a little better than suggesting that all of this is caused by food dyes or Bullshit RFK Jr.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x6nx7yysxgg

To be sure, this is not good news. It causes understandable alarms when the top U.S. health officials are a group of anti-science cranks obsessed with adolescent sperm count and use the language of eugenists. Especially when these officials now compile a list of people deemed unsuitable to join the military or “tax payers.”

If Kennedy and his fellow men are allowed to continue in the coming decades, millions of people will be sick. With President Donald Trump serving for the next four years (who advises staying outside of office illegally), things will get worse before the country gets better.