Bitcoin has grown rapidly in 2025, sparking speculation about the historic Bitcoin supercycle. After the turmoil that began the year, the momentum has recovered, sentiment has recovered, bullish indicators, analysts asked: Are we at the 2017 Bitcoin Bull run repetitive storm? The Bitcoin price analysis explores cycle comparisons, investor behavior and long-term holder trends to assess the possibility of explosive phases in this cryptocurrency market cycle.
2025 Bitcoin Cycle Comparisons to Past Bull Runs
The latest Bitcoin price surge has reset expectations. According to BTC’s growth since the lower cycle chart, despite macro challenges and declines, Bitcoin’s trajectory is closely aligned with the 2016-2017 and 2020-2021 cycles.
Historically, the lows of the Bitcoin market cycle were about 1,100 days. There may be hundreds of days left for potentially explosive Bitcoin price growth in the current cycle in about 900 days. But, investors’ behavior and market mechanics support Bitcoin Super Loop 2025?
Bitcoin Investors’ Behavior: Echoes of Bull Run in 2017
To measure crypto investor psychology, the two-year rolling MVRV-Z score provides key insights. This advanced metric introduces lost coins, under-liquidity supply, growing ETFs and institutional holdings, and shifts long-term Bitcoin holder behavior.
Last year, when Bitcoin price reached $73,000, the MVRV-Z scored 3.39, but the highest but not unprecedented. An answer was followed, reflecting the consolidation of the mid-term cycle in 2017. It is worth noting that the 2017 cycle features multiple high score peaks ahead of its final parabolic Bitcoin rally.
Using the Bitcoin Magazine Pro API, cross-cycle Bitcoin analysis showed a 91.5% correlation with the behavior of the bimodal cycle in 2013. There are already two major top-ups – one pre-sale ($74K) and one after loading ($100k+), which is the third premium ever to mark Bitcoin’s first triple-peak bull cycle, a potential sign of the Bitcoin superbike.
The behavioral correlation in the 2017 cycle was 58.6%, while investor behavior in 2021 was not similar, although its Bitcoin price action was about 75%.
Long-term Bitcoin holders have strong signals
The HODL wave over the age of 1 shows that even if prices rise, the percentage of BTC for one year or more continues to rise, a rare trend in a bull market that reflects strong convictions from long-term holders.
Historically, Hodl Wave’s rate of change increased the signal bottom, while Sharp dropped Mark Tops. Currently, the indicator is at a neutral inflection point, far from a peak distribution, indicating that long-term Bitcoin investors expect prices to be significantly higher.
Bitcoin Super Loop or More Mergers?
Can Bitcoin replicate the euphoric parabolic rally in 2017? This is possible, but this cycle may carve out a unique path that blends historical patterns with modern cryptocurrency market dynamics.
In this cycle, we may approach the third major peak, the first in Bitcoin history. Whether this will trigger a full Bitcoin super loop melt remains uncertain, but key indicators suggest that BTC is far from a replacement. Supply is tight, long-term holders are still unwavering, and demand is increasing, driven by steady growth, institutional bitcoin investment and ETF liquidation.
Conclusion: Is it a $150,000 Bitcoin rally?
The direct similarities to 2017 or 2013 are tempting, but Bitcoin is no longer an accompanying asset. As a mature, institutionalized market, its behavior continues to evolve, but the potential for explosive Bitcoin growth remains.
Historical Bitcoin cycle correlation is still high, investors’ behavior is healthy, and the technical indicator signal room can operate. There are no major signs of significant yields, profits or macro depletion, and this phase is for the sustained rise in Bitcoin prices. Whether it’s a $150K rally or over $150,000, the 2025 Bitcoin Bull Run could be a part of history books.
For more in-depth research, technical metrics, real-time market alerts, and access to the growing community of analysts, visit Bitcoinmagazinepro.com.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Be sure to do your own research before making any investment decisions.
